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Cake day: April 6th, 2026

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  • disclaimer: I am not on anyone’s “side”. This is a horrible conflict that needs to stop before it gets worse and escalates to include other countries.

    Some of the backlash maybe over feeling the USA is walking away without enough concessions.

    A big question is likely along the lines of “Will the USA withdraw military forces from Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Djibouti, plus all of the smaller sites?”

    What guarantees that the USA and Israel won’t stockpile arms, rebuild a new targets of opportunity list, and resume hostilities at a future date of their convenience?

    The new supreme leader of Iran lost his wife of almost 30 years, his father, and I believe another sibling. That’s not something that can be easily patched up quickly, even with 300 billion.

    Another thing is the hardliners believe that Iran can keep this going plus inflict more damage at the cost of the average Iranian civilian’s life… which doesn’t seem to be high on their list of concerns.

    If you go to the USA’s white house government page, and click on the Iran peace deal; if my enemy was posturing like this I would tell them to go fuck themselves. Never mind whatever new shit that idiot is rage tweeting in the middle of the night.


  • I love how blissfully ignorant Microsoft is being about how much they have doomed themselves to IBM status. Still a meaningful entity but no longer a leader in anything.

    Really interested to see what emerges from the chaos. Lisuan seems like a very viable upstart to fill the void Nvidia and AMD are currently leaving open if they can scale up their fabs and do the standard Chinese business tactic of flooding the market. Apple has only spent a fraction of what Microsoft and Google has while still maintaining their ocean of cash so its possible the ghost of Steve will have the last laugh? Linux is getting a lot of praise from notable tech influencers aimed at the general market, for example LinusTechTips, which may nudge Linux into stratospheric heights like 8% market share. Or perhaps it will become like metric vs imperial where the planet uses some flavor of Linux while the USA grudgingly holds onto Windows?

    The really big one to watch is if the EU can digitize its monetary system enough to replace the VISA/Mastercard GDP vampires.




  • AI has already and is actively making a substantial chunk of things worse.

    OpenAI has made war crimes legal

    Youtube is a sea of slop

    Book industry is drowning

    FOSS is being openly robbed while also drowning under slop

    Anti-AI paranoia is really ratcheting up and its also being exploited by AI. USAA the military savings bank has a flood of AI bots accusing humans of being bots to stifle criticism of the bank enshitifying itself. Meanwhile pre-AI video reposts have people screaming “That’s AI slop!” In other places, too thorough of a text post is probably AI but it also might just be some poor neurodivergent person who is an actual expert on the subject and is excited to share.

    Then there is all the layoffs and firings.

    Health insurance scams are using AI to target those who are less lightly to appeal.

    Stuff like the people shut out of part of the job market because an AI decided they had been rejected from too many prior applications.

    Oh and the computer electronics parts market is fucked. I have a few spare DDR5 memory sticks that would now pay for a third of what my current computer cost me! Never mind the NVME spares I have on the shelf.

    Actually most of the consumer electronics market is fucked. Didn’t they postpone the next play station while Valve is trying to figure out if people will be cool donating a kidney or part of their liver for the VR goggles and the steam console box.

    Only saving grace for me is my spelling and grammar skills seriously atrophied after using grammarly for a few years so most people look at my writing and never think “This sounds like AI!”


  • Boeing is the poster child of what killed the USA.

    Boeing went from an engineer centric company and was poisoned by a “reverse-merger” that put people who already killed one manufacturer in charge. These parasites proceeded to stick to the same playbook that drove them into the ground plus double downed on their greed. I added up all the stock buybacks which looks like legal embezzlement and it was more then the research and development costs of the 777 and the 787 combined. I didn’t bother with adjusting for inflation as the buybacks are spread over decades, so the true cost is definitely worse.


  • Yes there are a lot of dark sides to this but I am still somewhat hopeful for people whose body have betrayed them.

    Unfortunately the unmentioned horror of this technology as it currently stands is similar to “Flowers for algernon”. The brain is extremely territorial and doesn’t like weird metallic stuff stuck in it. In response, I believe the astrocytes build encapsulating scar tissue around the probes that eventually deafen them. I have been following this tech since the early stages in the late 90’s and no one seems to have solved that. Truly bitter experience for epilepsy and near terminally depressed patients who have been given some semblance of normallacy only to have it slip away.

    A currently insanely expensive probe design has something like a magnet on a mems platform so a less reactive and normally insulating material can be used to “sense” electrical impulses. Sadly it has something brutal like a sub 5% production yield and can be damaged almost anywhere along the journey from a fabrication laboratory to a operating room.


  • Fundamentally models based on an LLM structure are never going to be remotely performant with current technology.

    Part of the problem is that as you increase parameters, in some parts of the model the amount of digital processing time is increased close to or more likely above and beyond a magnitude. Absolute best case is somewhere around N^2 per sequence of layers where N is the number of neurons.

    additionally floating point multiplication is involved which is like turning two numbers into their own matrix multiplication operation.

    Agentic is really more like taking a crappy slot machine that does multiple rolls in one go to improve the odds of a more desirable outcome.

    So to simplify the problem, this is like a bunch of stupid monkeys rubbing two rocks together hard enough to create enough friction to make it seem like they have discovered fire.

    Taking that analogy a step further, so much effort is being put into rubbing rocks together faster that other important issues like food and shelter are being ignored.